Carlisle vs Boston United: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Brunton Park, Carlisle, Cumbria
The Footlab AI model makes Carlisle the favourite at 71%, against 17% for a draw and 12% for Boston United. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,547 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Carlisle vs Boston United?
Carlisle starts as the favourite with a 204-point Elo edge (1,900 vs 1,696).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Carlisle vs Boston United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Carlisle
4-3-3- 7D. Ajiboye
- 10R. Linney
- 19M. Obiero
- 30T. Jenks
- 8C. Whelan
- 4H. Bunker
- 17L. Duru
- 5M. Feeney
- 15B. Nicholson
- 22J. Williams
- 1A. Desbois
Boston United
4-3-3- 18L. Wheeldon
- 11Kenneth Aboh
- 14L. John-Lewis
- 15Oliver Bostock
- 7J. Holmes
- 8G. Holohan
- 23J. Grimes
- 2S. Sachdev
- 28T. Agyemang
- 6N. Canavan
- 13Louis Chadwick
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 08:16 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carlisle have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Boston United have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Altrincham(away) | 4-2 | National League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Harrogate Town(home) | 3-0 | National League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Solihull Moors(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Tamworth(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(home) | 0-0 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Leicester City U21(home) | 1-0 | National League Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Scunthorpe(home) | 2-1 | National League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Gateshead(home) | 2-1 | National League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Eastleigh(away) | 2-4 | National League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Scunthorpe(home) | 1-3 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Carlisle wins, 0 draws, 0 Boston United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Carlisle 6-2 Boston United | National League |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Boston United 1-2 Carlisle | National League |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Carlisle 5-2 Boston United | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Carlisle vs Boston United on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Carlisle score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Boston United score 1.5 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlisle | 2.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Boston United | 1.5 | 2.2 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Carlisle sit 8th in National League (26 points from 16 matches) and Boston United sit 19th (18 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Carlisle | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 32 | 23 | 26 |
| 19 | Boston United | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 29 | 18 |
A question about Carlisle vs Boston United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Carlisle vs Boston United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Carlisle the favourite at 71%, against 17% for a draw and 12% for Boston United.
- Where and when is Carlisle vs Boston United played?
- Carlisle vs Boston United is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Brunton Park, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.