Plymouth vs Cambridge United: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 27Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Home Park, Plymouth
The Footlab model makes Plymouth the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Cambridge United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Plymouth vs Cambridge United?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Plymouth (1,938) and Cambridge United (1,916).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Plymouth have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Cambridge United have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Coventry(home) | 2-4 | League Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stockport County(home) | 1-3 | League One |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Exeter City(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Tavistock(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Millwall(home) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bromley(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wigan(home) | 3-2 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Barnet(home) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Norwich(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Plymouth win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Cambridge United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2023 | Plymouth 3-1 Cambridge United | League One |
| Dec 10, 2022 | Cambridge United 0-0 Plymouth | League One |
| Feb 22, 2022 | Cambridge United 2-0 Plymouth | League One |
| Aug 17, 2021 | Plymouth 1-1 Cambridge United | League One |
| Feb 22, 2020 | Plymouth 0-0 Cambridge United | League Two |
| Dec 7, 2019 | Cambridge United 1-0 Plymouth | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Plymouth vs Cambridge United on Apr 22, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Plymouth score 2.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Cambridge United score 1.4 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plymouth | 2.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Cambridge United | 1.4 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Plymouth sit 22nd in League One (1 points from 2 matches) and Cambridge United sit 4th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cambridge United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 22 | Plymouth | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Plymouth vs Cambridge United?
- The Footlab model makes Plymouth the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Cambridge United.
- Where and when is Plymouth vs Cambridge United played?
- Plymouth vs Cambridge United is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Home Park, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.