Match

Celta Vigo vs Bournemouth: prediction and stats

UEFA Europa LeagueLeague Stage - 5Kick-off on November 26, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC)Estadio Abanca-Balaídos, Vigo

Celta VigoBournemouth

The Footlab AI model makes Bournemouth the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Celta Vigo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bournemouth wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Celta Vigo vs Bournemouth?

Bournemouth starts as the favourite with a 222-point Elo edge (2,252 vs 2,030).

24%26%50%
Celta Vigo winDrawBournemouth win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Celta Vigo vs Bournemouth

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Celta Vigo

3-4-3
  1. 9Ferran Jutglà
  2. 11Pablo Durán
  3. 23Hugo Álvarez
  1. 6I. Moriba
  2. 17Javi Rueda
  3. 8Miguel Román
  4. 22Javi Galán
  1. 15Álvaro Núñez
  2. 3Marcos Alonso
  3. 18Yoel Lago
  1. 13I. Radu

Bournemouth

4-2-3-1
  1. 9Evanilson
  1. 16M. Tavernier
  2. 37Rayan
  3. 12T. Adams
  4. 8A. Scott
  5. 10R. Christie
  1. 5J. Hill
  2. 14António Silva
  3. 15A. Smith
  4. 3A. Truffert
  1. 1Đ. Petrović

Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:51 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celta Vigo have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Bournemouth have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Celta Vigo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Elche(away)0-0La Liga
Sep 19, 2026Racing Santander(home)5-0La Liga
Sep 16, 2026Omonia Nicosia(away)0-1UEFA Europa League
Sep 13, 2026Malaga(home)1-1La Liga
Sep 7, 2026Getafe(away)1-1La Liga
Bournemouth
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Chelsea(away)1-5Premier League
Sep 20, 2026Liverpool(home)0-1Premier League
Sep 17, 2026Real Sociedad(away)2-1UEFA Europa League
Sep 12, 2026Brentford(home)2-2Premier League
Sep 8, 2026Lincoln(home)4-0League Cup

How many goals should we expect?

Celta Vigo score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bournemouth score 2.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Celta Vigo1.30.967/155/15
Bournemouth2.51.6113/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Celta Vigo sit 26th in UEFA Europa League (0 points from 1 match) and Bournemouth sit 10th (3 points from 1 match).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Bournemouth1100213
26Celta Vigo1001010

A question about Celta Vigo vs Bournemouth?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Celta Vigo vs Bournemouth?
The Footlab AI model makes Bournemouth the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Celta Vigo.
Where and when is Celta Vigo vs Bournemouth played?
Celta Vigo vs Bournemouth is played on November 26, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC) at Estadio Abanca-Balaídos, in the UEFA Europa League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Celta Vigo and Bournemouth

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