Poblense vs La Nucía: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Sa Pobla, Sa Pobla (Mallorca
The Footlab AI model makes Poblense the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for La Nucía. The most likely score is 1-1. If Poblense wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Poblense vs La Nucía?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Poblense (1,955) and La Nucía (1,907).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Poblense vs La Nucía
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Poblense
4-3-3- 19Alberto Fernández
- 11Aitor Pons
- 23Antoni Peñafort
- 8M. Femenias
- 18G. Teruel
- 16Payeras Marti
- 15Pep Vidal
- 20Juan Suasi
- 6Joan Salvà
- 10D. Martinez
- 1Vincenç Sabater
La Nucía
Not enough data to predict the La Nucía lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 04:47 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Poblense have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; La Nucía have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Castellón II(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Valencia II(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Alcoyano(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Castellonense(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lorca Deportiva(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Deportiva Minera(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mallorca II(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Yeclano(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Real Murcia II(home) | 5-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Poblense win, 0 draws, 1 La Nucía win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | La Nucía 1-0 Poblense | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 9, 2024 | Poblense 1-0 La Nucía | Copa Federacion |
How many goals should we expect?
Poblense score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; La Nucía score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poblense | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| La Nucía | 1.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Poblense sit 14th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (6 points from 6 matches) and La Nucía sit 3rd (12 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | La Nucía | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| 14 | Poblense | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 6 |
A question about Poblense vs La Nucía?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Poblense vs La Nucía?
- The Footlab AI model makes Poblense the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for La Nucía.
- Where and when is Poblense vs La Nucía played?
- Poblense vs La Nucía is played on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Sa Pobla, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.