Castellonense vs Valencia II: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Camp Poliesportiu Municipal Antonio Escuriet, Castelló
The Footlab AI model makes Castellonense the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Valencia II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Castellonense wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,136 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Castellonense vs Valencia II?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Castellonense (1,875) and Valencia II (1,847).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Castellonense vs Valencia II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Castellonense
4-3-3- 9I. Garijo
- 15Didac Castellá
- 16J. Rodriguez
- 18Diego de Pedro
- 19J. Winstanley
- 10A. Murillo
- 3Primi Férriz
- 5S. Candel
- 22C. Badal Andani
- 7J. Pulpon
- 1J. Company
Valencia II
4-3-3- 38Joselu
- 44Ismael Santana
- 43Mario Domínguez
- 47Lucas Nuñez
- JJaume Durá
- 47David Otorbi
- 31Rubo Iranzo
- 31Andrés Caro
- RRúben Muñoz
- CCarlos Alós
- NNil Ruiz
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 04:10 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Castellonense have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Valencia II have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Alcoyano(home) | 3-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Valencia II(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Almeria(home) | 1-2 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Intercity(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Deportiva Minera(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Lorca Deportiva(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Castellonense(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Orihuela(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Elche II(away) | 1-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Peña Deportiva(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Castellonense wins, 1 draw, 0 Valencia II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Valencia II 1-1 Castellonense | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Valencia II vs Castellonense on Oct 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Castellonense score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Valencia II score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castellonense | 1.6 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Valencia II | 1.8 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Castellonense sit 4th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (16 points from 9 matches) and Valencia II sit 18th (6 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Castellonense | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 16 |
| 18 | Valencia II | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 6 |
A question about Castellonense vs Valencia II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Castellonense vs Valencia II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Castellonense the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Valencia II.
- Where and when is Castellonense vs Valencia II played?
- Castellonense vs Valencia II is played on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Camp Poliesportiu Municipal Antonio Escuriet, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.