Poland U21 vs Italy U21: result 2-1 and analysis
UEFA U21 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 11Kick-off on November 14, 2025 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Narodowy, Warszawa
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What was the result of Poland U21 vs Italy U21?
Poland U21 won 2-1 on November 14, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 61′N. PisilliItaly U21
- 83′W. BogaczPoland U21
- 86′M. KuziemkaPoland U21
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Poland U21 have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Italy U21 have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2025 | Sweden U21(away) | 6-0 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Montenegro U21(home) | 2-0 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Sep 9, 2025 | Armenia U21(away) | 4-0 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Sep 5, 2025 | North Macedonia U21(home) | 3-0 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Jun 17, 2025 | France U21(away) | 1-4 | UEFA U21 Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2025 | Armenia U21(home) | 5-1 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Sweden U21(home) | 4-0 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Sep 9, 2025 | North Macedonia U21(away) | 1-0 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Montenegro U21(home) | 2-1 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Jun 22, 2025 | Germany U21(away) | 2-3 | UEFA U21 Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Poland U21 score 2.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Italy U21 score 2.1 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poland U21 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 6 | 7/15 | 13/15 |
| Italy U21 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 8 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Poland U21 sit 1st in UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification (24 points from 8 matches) and Italy U21 sit 2nd (21 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Poland U21 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 24 |
| 2 | Italy U21 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 5 | 21 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2025Armenia U211-2Montenegro U21
- Nov 14, 2025Belarus U213-0Wales U21
- Nov 14, 2025Greece U213-0Georgia U21
- Nov 14, 2025Germany U216-0Malta U21
- Nov 15, 2025Gibraltar U210-2Scotland U21
- Nov 17, 2025Kazakhstan U211-1Moldova U21
- Nov 17, 2025France U211-0Faroe Islands U21
- Nov 18, 2025Finland U210-0Kosovo U21