Polessya vs Karpaty: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Tsentralnyi Stadion, Zhytomyr
The Footlab model makes Polessya the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Karpaty. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Polessya vs Karpaty?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Polessya (1,947) and Karpaty (1,906).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polessya have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Karpaty have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Zorya Luhansk(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Chornomorets(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | FC Copenhagen(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | FC Copenhagen(home) | 3-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Obolon'-Brovar(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bukovyna(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | LNZ Cherkasy(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kryvbas KR(away) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Veres Rivne(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Polessya win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Karpaty win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | Polessya 3-2 Karpaty | Premier League |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Karpaty 0-2 Polessya | Premier League |
| Apr 7, 2025 | Polessya 1-1 Karpaty | Premier League |
| Feb 12, 2025 | Karpaty 0-3 Polessya | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Karpaty 1-3 Polessya | Premier League |
| Nov 27, 2022 | Karpaty 1-2 Polessya | Persha Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Polessya score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Karpaty score 2.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polessya | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Karpaty | 2.0 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Polessya sit 5th in Premier League (6 points from 3 matches) and Karpaty sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karpaty | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 | Polessya | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Polessya vs Karpaty?
- The Footlab model makes Polessya the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Karpaty.
- Where and when is Polessya vs Karpaty played?
- Polessya vs Karpaty is played on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Tsentralnyi Stadion, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.