Polessya vs Karpaty: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Tsentralnyi Stadion, Zhytomyr
The Footlab AI model makes Polessya the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Karpaty. The most likely score is 1-1. If Polessya wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,598 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Polessya vs Karpaty?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Polessya (2,055) and Karpaty (1,984).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Polessya vs Karpaty
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Polessya
4-1-4-1- 89M. Gayduchyk
- 8R. Babenko
- 14L. Emërllahu
- 7O. Nazarenko
- 27O. Fedor
- 45M. Bragaru
- 5E. Sarapiy
- 44S. Chobotenko
- 31G. Maisuradze
- 4M. Kravchenko
- 1O. Kudryk
Karpaty
4-1-4-1- 9J. Séry
- 8A. Chachua
- 10Moha
- 31N. Rusyn
- 70Xeber Alkain
- 20M. Sapuga
- 47Jean Pedroso
- 17R. Vantukh
- 4V. Baboglo
- 11D. Miroshnichenko
- 80R. Mysak
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 10:13 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polessya have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Karpaty have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Bukovyna(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Kryvbas KR(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Livyi Bereh(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Kudrivka(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Kudrivka(home) | 5-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Dynamo Kyiv(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | KV Mechelen(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Veres Rivne(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka(away) | 3-2 | Cup |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Polessya wins, 1 draw, 0 Karpaty wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | Polessya 3-2 Karpaty | Premier League |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Karpaty 0-2 Polessya | Premier League |
| Apr 7, 2025 | Polessya 1-1 Karpaty | Premier League |
| Feb 12, 2025 | Karpaty 0-3 Polessya | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Karpaty 1-3 Polessya | Premier League |
| Nov 27, 2022 | Karpaty 1-2 Polessya | Persha Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Polessya score 2.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Karpaty score 2.2 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polessya | 2.0 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Karpaty | 2.2 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Polessya sit 2nd in Premier League (19 points from 8 matches) and Karpaty sit 5th (14 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Polessya | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 19 |
| 5 | Karpaty | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 6 | 14 |
A question about Polessya vs Karpaty?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Polessya vs Karpaty?
- The Footlab AI model makes Polessya the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Karpaty.
- Where and when is Polessya vs Karpaty played?
- Polessya vs Karpaty is played on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Tsentralnyi Stadion, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.