Police vs Bugesera: result 1-3 and analysis
National Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on December 30, 2018 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Kigali Pelé Stadium, Kigali
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What was the result of Police vs Bugesera?
Bugesera won 1-3 on December 30, 2018.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, Police have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Bugesera have 3, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2018 | Rayon Sports(away) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Dec 18, 2018 | Sunrise(away) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| Dec 11, 2018 | Etincelles(away) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| Dec 8, 2018 | Marines(home) | 3-2 | National Soccer League |
| Nov 30, 2018 | Kirehe(away) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 24, 2018 | Espoir(home) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Dec 20, 2018 | Muhanga(away) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| Dec 16, 2018 | APR(home) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| Dec 13, 2018 | AS Kigali(away) | 0-3 | National Soccer League |
| Dec 7, 2018 | Kiyovu Sports(home) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
How many goals should we expect?
Police score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 10; Bugesera score 0.7 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Police | 1.5 | 0.8 | 4 | 5/10 | 4/10 |
| Bugesera | 0.7 | 1.2 | 2 | 5/11 | 3/11 |
Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Police sit 13th in National Soccer League (3 points from 3 matches) and Bugesera sit 12th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bugesera | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Police | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
A question about Police vs Bugesera?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy