Police vs Bugesera: result 1-3 and analysis
National Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on December 30, 2018 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Kigali Pelé Stadium, Kigali
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What was the result of Police vs Bugesera?
Bugesera won 1-3 on December 30, 2018.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, Police have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Bugesera have 3, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2018 | Rayon Sports(away) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Dec 18, 2018 | Sunrise(away) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| Dec 11, 2018 | Etincelles(away) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| Dec 8, 2018 | Marines(home) | 3-2 | National Soccer League |
| Nov 30, 2018 | Kirehe(away) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 24, 2018 | Espoir(home) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Dec 20, 2018 | Muhanga(away) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| Dec 16, 2018 | APR(home) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| Dec 13, 2018 | AS Kigali(away) | 0-3 | National Soccer League |
| Dec 7, 2018 | Kiyovu Sports(home) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
How many goals should we expect?
Police score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 10; Bugesera score 0.7 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Police | 1.5 | 0.8 | 4 | 5/10 | 4/10 |
| Bugesera | 0.7 | 1.2 | 2 | 5/11 | 3/11 |
Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Police sit 6th in National Soccer League (52 points from 34 matches) and Bugesera sit 9th (44 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Police | 34 | 12 | 16 | 6 | 29 | 19 | 52 |
| 9 | Bugesera | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 34 | 39 | 44 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy