Police vs Bugesera: result 2-1 and analysis
National Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 13, 2022 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stade Régional de Nyamirambo, Kigali
Full time
What was the result of Police vs Bugesera?
Police won 2-1 on October 13, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 25′331676Police
- 33′331676Police
- 69′?Bugesera
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Police have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Bugesera have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2022 | Gasogi United(home) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 8, 2022 | Rayon Sports(home) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Aug 19, 2022 | Sunrise(away) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Jun 16, 2022 | APR(home) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Jun 13, 2022 | Bugesera(away) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2022 | APR(home) | 2-1 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 1, 2022 | Etincelles(home) | 3-1 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 13, 2022 | Gasogi United(away) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Aug 20, 2022 | Kiyovu Sports(home) | 1-3 | National Soccer League |
| Jun 18, 2022 | Gicumbi(away) | 2-0 | National Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Police win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Bugesera win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2022 | Bugesera 2-0 Police | National Soccer League |
| Jan 24, 2022 | Police 1-2 Bugesera | National Soccer League |
| May 24, 2021 | Bugesera 2-1 Police | National Soccer League |
| Dec 10, 2020 | Bugesera 1-3 Police | National Soccer League |
| Mar 11, 2020 | Bugesera 3-1 Police | National Soccer League |
| Nov 5, 2019 | Police 2-1 Bugesera | National Soccer League |
How many goals should we expect?
Police score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bugesera score 1.1 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Police | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1 | 7/15 | 3/15 |
| Bugesera | 1.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Police sit 6th in National Soccer League (52 points from 34 matches) and Bugesera sit 9th (44 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Police | 34 | 12 | 16 | 6 | 29 | 19 | 52 |
| 9 | Bugesera | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 34 | 39 | 44 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy