Police vs Bugesera: result 2-1 and analysis
National Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 13, 2022 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stade Régional de Nyamirambo, Kigali
Full time
What was the result of Police vs Bugesera?
Police won 2-1 on October 13, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 25′331676Police
- 33′331676Police
- 69′?Bugesera
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Police have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Bugesera have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2022 | Gasogi United(home) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 8, 2022 | Rayon Sports(home) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Aug 19, 2022 | Sunrise(away) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Jun 16, 2022 | APR(home) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Jun 13, 2022 | Bugesera(away) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2022 | APR(home) | 2-1 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 1, 2022 | Etincelles(home) | 3-1 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 13, 2022 | Gasogi United(away) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Aug 20, 2022 | Kiyovu Sports(home) | 1-3 | National Soccer League |
| Jun 18, 2022 | Gicumbi(away) | 2-0 | National Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Police wins, 0 draws, 4 Bugesera wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2022 | Bugesera 2-0 Police | National Soccer League |
| Jan 24, 2022 | Police 1-2 Bugesera | National Soccer League |
| May 24, 2021 | Bugesera 2-1 Police | National Soccer League |
| Dec 10, 2020 | Bugesera 1-3 Police | National Soccer League |
| Mar 11, 2020 | Bugesera 3-1 Police | National Soccer League |
| Nov 5, 2019 | Police 2-1 Bugesera | National Soccer League |
How many goals should we expect?
Police score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bugesera score 1.1 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Police | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1 | 7/15 | 3/15 |
| Bugesera | 1.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Police sit 13th in National Soccer League (3 points from 3 matches) and Bugesera sit 12th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bugesera | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Police | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
A question about Police vs Bugesera?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy