Police vs Etincelles: prediction and stats
National Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 15, 2020 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Régional de Nyamirambo, Kigali
Match cancelled
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Police have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Etincelles have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2020 | Bugesera(away) | 1-3 | National Soccer League |
| Mar 8, 2020 | AS Kigali(home) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| Mar 4, 2020 | APR(away) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Feb 15, 2020 | Heroes(away) | 3-1 | National Soccer League |
| Feb 7, 2020 | Gasogi United(home) | 2-0 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2020 | Muhanga(home) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| Mar 7, 2020 | Marines(away) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| Mar 4, 2020 | Rayon Sports(home) | 1-2 | National Soccer League |
| Feb 15, 2020 | Bugesera(home) | 1-3 | National Soccer League |
| Feb 8, 2020 | AS Kigali(away) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Police win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Etincelles win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2019 | Etincelles 0-1 Police | National Soccer League |
| Apr 21, 2019 | Police 2-0 Etincelles | National Soccer League |
| Dec 11, 2018 | Etincelles 0-0 Police | National Soccer League |
How many goals should we expect?
Police score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Etincelles score 0.8 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Police | 1.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Etincelles | 0.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Police sit 6th in National Soccer League (52 points from 34 matches) and Etincelles sit 13th (37 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Police | 34 | 12 | 16 | 6 | 29 | 19 | 52 |
| 13 | Etincelles | 34 | 7 | 16 | 11 | 32 | 40 | 37 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy