Police vs Gorilla: result 1-0 and analysis
National Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 3, 2023 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Kigali Pelé Stadium, Kigali
Full time
What was the result of Police vs Gorilla?
Police won 1-0 on November 3, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 55′?Police
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Police have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Gorilla have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2023 | Gasogi United(away) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 20, 2023 | Kiyovu Sports(home) | 5-0 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 15, 2023 | AS Kigali(away) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 11, 2023 | Rwamagana City(home) | 2-1 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Etincelles(away) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2023 | Marines(home) | 2-3 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Amagaju(away) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Bugesera(away) | 2-2 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 10, 2023 | Gasogi United(home) | 2-2 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 2, 2023 | Kiyovu Sports(away) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Police win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Gorilla win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2023 | Gorilla 2-3 Police | National Soccer League |
| Nov 26, 2022 | Police 0-1 Gorilla | National Soccer League |
| Feb 25, 2022 | Gorilla 1-2 Police | National Soccer League |
| Nov 22, 2021 | Police 0-0 Gorilla | National Soccer League |
How many goals should we expect?
Police score 1.4 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Gorilla score 1.3 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Police | 1.4 | 0.7 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Gorilla | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Police sit 6th in National Soccer League (52 points from 34 matches) and Gorilla sit 11th (40 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Police | 34 | 12 | 16 | 6 | 29 | 19 | 52 |
| 11 | Gorilla | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 31 | 42 | 40 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy