Police vs Kaédi: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 2Kick-off on October 19, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade Olympique de Nouakchott, Nouakchott
The Footlab AI model makes Police the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Kaédi. The most likely score is 1-1. If Police wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Police vs Kaédi?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Police (1,516) and Kaédi (1,514).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Police vs Kaédi
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Police
Not enough data to predict the Police lineup.
Kaédi
Not enough data to predict the Kaédi lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:46 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Police have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Kaédi have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Chemal(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 25, 2026 | Gendrim(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| May 20, 2026 | Kaédi(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Nouadhibou(away) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Chemal(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Armée(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Nouakchott King's(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| May 20, 2026 | Police(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 9, 2026 | AC Douane(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 4, 2026 | Ksar(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Police wins, 1 draw, 2 Kaédi wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2026 | Police 0-1 Kaédi | Premier League |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Kaédi 0-4 Police | Premier League |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Police 0-1 Kaédi | Premier League |
| Nov 19, 2022 | Kaédi 0-0 Police | Premier League |
| Jun 10, 2022 | Police 1-0 Kaédi | Premier League |
| Jan 3, 2022 | Kaédi 1-4 Police | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Police score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kaédi score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Police | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Kaédi | 0.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Kaédi | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
A question about Police vs Kaédi?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Police vs Kaédi?
- The Footlab AI model makes Police the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Kaédi.
- Where and when is Police vs Kaédi played?
- Police vs Kaédi is played on October 19, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Olympique de Nouakchott, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.