Police vs Kitara: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 3, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)MTN Omondi Stadium, Kampala
The Footlab AI model makes Kitara the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Police. The most likely score is 1-1. If Kitara wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.5% of the 3,688 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Police vs Kitara?
Kitara starts as the favourite with a 137-point Elo edge (1,502 vs 1,366).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Police vs Kitara
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Police
Not enough data to predict the Police lineup.
Kitara
Not enough data to predict the Kitara lineup.
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 02:16 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Police have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Kitara have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Vipers(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | SC Villa(home) | 1-6 | Premier League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Entebbe UPPC(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Lugazi(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 10, 2026 | UPDF(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Al Ahly(away) | 0-4 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Al Ahly(home) | 1-2 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kataka(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Kigezi HomeBoyz(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Express(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Police wins, 1 draw, 2 Kitara wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Kitara 2-2 Police | Premier League |
| Nov 27, 2025 | Police 1-2 Kitara | Premier League |
| Mar 27, 2025 | Police 0-1 Kitara | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2024 | Kitara 0-1 Police | Premier League |
| Apr 20, 2021 | Police 4-1 Kitara | Premier League |
| Dec 12, 2020 | Kitara 0-5 Police | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Police score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kitara score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Police | 0.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Kitara | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Police sit 12th in Premier League (8 points from 7 matches) and Kitara sit 9th (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Kitara | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| 12 | Police | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 8 |
A question about Police vs Kitara?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Police vs Kitara?
- The Footlab AI model makes Kitara the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Police.
- Where and when is Police vs Kitara played?
- Police vs Kitara is played on November 3, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at MTN Omondi Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.