Police vs Mara Sugar: result 1-1 and analysis
Shield CupQuarter-finalsKick-off on May 25, 2025 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Stade Dr Issoufou Joseph Conombo, Ouagadougou
Full time
What was the result of Police vs Mara Sugar?
Police and Mara Sugar drew 1-1 on May 25, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 11′?Mara Sugar
- 30′?Police
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Police have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Mara Sugar have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2025 | Talanta(home) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 14, 2025 | Homeboyz(away) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 9, 2025 | Bandari(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 4, 2025 | Kariobangi Sharks(home) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Apr 26, 2025 | KCB(away) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 21, 2025 | Compel(away) | 2-0 | Shield Cup |
| May 18, 2025 | Shabana(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 14, 2025 | Bandari(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 9, 2025 | Nairobi City Stars(away) | 2-3 | FKF Premier League |
| May 4, 2025 | Ulinzi Stars(home) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Police wins, 0 draws, 0 Mara Sugar wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2025 | Mara Sugar 0-1 Police | FKF Premier League |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Police 1-0 Mara Sugar | FKF Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Police score 1.0 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Mara Sugar score 1.1 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Police | 1.0 | 0.4 | 10 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
| Mara Sugar | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Police vs Mara Sugar?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy