Police vs Mombasa Elite: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stade Dr Issoufou Joseph Conombo, Ouagadougou
The Footlab AI model makes Police the favourite at 51%, against 30% for a draw and 19% for Mombasa Elite. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,564 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Police vs Mombasa Elite?
Police starts as the favourite with a 220-point Elo edge (1,596 vs 1,376).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Police vs Mombasa Elite
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Police
Not enough data to predict the Police lineup.
Mombasa Elite
Not enough data to predict the Mombasa Elite lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 09:48 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Police have 6 wins, 8 draws and 1 defeat; Mombasa Elite have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Migori Youth(away) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Tusker(away) | 1-2 | Shield Cup |
| May 31, 2026 | Homeboyz(home) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 27, 2026 | Kariobangi Sharks(home) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 24, 2026 | Nairobi United(away) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Migori Youth(away) | 0-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | KCB(away) | 1-3 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Kenya Police(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Mara Sugar(away) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Homeboyz(home) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Police score 1.0 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Mombasa Elite score 0.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Police | 1.0 | 0.5 | 8 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Mombasa Elite | 0.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Police sit 9th in FKF Premier League (1 point from 1 match) and Mombasa Elite sit 18th (1 point from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Police | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 18 | Mombasa Elite | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
A question about Police vs Mombasa Elite?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Police vs Mombasa Elite?
- The Footlab AI model makes Police the favourite at 51%, against 30% for a draw and 19% for Mombasa Elite.
- Where and when is Police vs Mombasa Elite played?
- Police vs Mombasa Elite is played on January 23, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Dr Issoufou Joseph Conombo, in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.