APS Bomet vs Nairobi United: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Bomet Stadium, Bomet
The Footlab AI model makes APS Bomet the favourite at 35%, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Nairobi United. The most likely score is 1-1. If APS Bomet wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,461 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win APS Bomet vs Nairobi United?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate APS Bomet (1,525) and Nairobi United (1,547).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for APS Bomet vs Nairobi United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
APS Bomet
Not enough data to predict the APS Bomet lineup.
Nairobi United
4-3-3- 33B. Ochieng
- 5S. Mwinyi
- 10H. Muhadjiri
- 29D. Odhiambo
- 24L. Owino
- 26B. Mzee
- 34L. Ogutu
- 2Y. Mainge
- 12K. Otiende
- 4J. Otieno
- 32K. Oduor
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 11:21 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, APS Bomet have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Nairobi United have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Mathare United(away) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 31, 2026 | Tusker(away) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 24, 2026 | AFC Leopards(home) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 20, 2026 | Bandari(away) | 2-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Mathare United(away) | 2-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | KCB(home) | 2-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 31, 2026 | GOR Mahia(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 24, 2026 | Police(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 16, 2026 | Posta Rangers FC(home) | 2-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Kariobangi Sharks(away) | 0-2 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 APS Bomet win, 2 draws, 1 Nairobi United win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | APS Bomet 0-0 Nairobi United | FKF Premier League |
| Feb 4, 2026 | Nairobi United 1-2 APS Bomet | FKF Premier League |
| Mar 16, 2025 | APS Bomet 0-0 Nairobi United | Super League |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Nairobi United 1-0 APS Bomet | Super League |
Last archived meeting: APS Bomet vs Nairobi United on Mar 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
APS Bomet score 1.0 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Nairobi United score 1.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| APS Bomet | 1.0 | 0.4 | 10 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Nairobi United | 1.4 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
APS Bomet sit 14th in FKF Premier League (1 point from 1 match) and Nairobi United sit 7th (1 point from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nairobi United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 14 | APS Bomet | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
A question about APS Bomet vs Nairobi United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for APS Bomet vs Nairobi United?
- The Footlab AI model makes APS Bomet the favourite at 35%, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Nairobi United.
- Where and when is APS Bomet vs Nairobi United played?
- APS Bomet vs Nairobi United is played on January 23, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Bomet Stadium, in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.