Bandari vs GOR Mahia: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Mbaraki Sports Club, Mombasa
The Footlab AI model makes GOR Mahia the favourite at 43%, against 33% for a draw and 24% for Bandari. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,052 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bandari vs GOR Mahia?
GOR Mahia starts as the favourite with a 159-point Elo edge (1,682 vs 1,522).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bandari vs GOR Mahia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bandari
Not enough data to predict the Bandari lineup.
GOR Mahia
4-3-3- 40C. Ochieng Oduor
- 30S. Kapen
- 22B. Ochieng
- 6E. Morrison
- 10A. Otieno
- 26P. Otieno
- 2G. Ochieng
- 5Alphonce Omija
- 15S. Owino
- 19Shariff Sirengo
- 35K. Omondi Onyango
Computed on October 23, 2026 at 02:12 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bandari have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; GOR Mahia have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | 3K(home) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | AFC Leopards(away) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 14, 2026 | KCB(away) | 2-0 | Shield Cup |
| May 31, 2026 | Mathare United(away) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 24, 2026 | Tusker(home) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | APS Bomet(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Murang'a SEAL(home) | 4-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Pyramids FC(away) | 1-5 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Pyramids FC(home) | 0-2 | CAF Champions League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Rayon Sports(away) | 1-2 | CECAFA Club Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bandari wins, 2 draws, 2 GOR Mahia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | GOR Mahia 0-0 Bandari | FKF Premier League |
| Dec 12, 2025 | Bandari 1-1 GOR Mahia | FKF Premier League |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Bandari 0-2 GOR Mahia | Shield Cup |
| Mar 15, 2025 | GOR Mahia 2-0 Bandari | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 6, 2024 | Bandari 2-0 GOR Mahia | FKF Premier League |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Bandari 1-0 GOR Mahia | FKF Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Bandari score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; GOR Mahia score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 29% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bandari | 1.1 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| GOR Mahia | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bandari sit 11th in FKF Premier League (2 points from 2 matches) and GOR Mahia sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GOR Mahia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 11 | Bandari | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
A question about Bandari vs GOR Mahia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bandari vs GOR Mahia?
- The Footlab AI model makes GOR Mahia the favourite at 43%, against 33% for a draw and 24% for Bandari.
- Where and when is Bandari vs GOR Mahia played?
- Bandari vs GOR Mahia is played on January 23, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Mbaraki Sports Club, in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.