Police vs Nairobi United: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stade Dr Issoufou Joseph Conombo, Ouagadougou
The Footlab AI model makes Police the favourite at 40%, against 33% for a draw and 27% for Nairobi United. The most likely score is 0-0. If Police wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 4,831 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Police vs Nairobi United?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Police (1,596) and Nairobi United (1,526).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Police vs Nairobi United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Police
Not enough data to predict the Police lineup.
Nairobi United
4-3-3- 33B. Ochieng
- 5S. Mwinyi
- 10H. Muhadjiri
- 29D. Odhiambo
- 24L. Owino
- 26B. Mzee
- 34L. Ogutu
- 2Y. Mainge
- 12K. Otiende
- 4J. Otieno
- 32K. Oduor
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 06:32 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Police have 6 wins, 8 draws and 1 defeat; Nairobi United have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Migori Youth(away) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Tusker(away) | 1-2 | Shield Cup |
| May 31, 2026 | Homeboyz(home) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 27, 2026 | Kariobangi Sharks(home) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 24, 2026 | Nairobi United(away) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Bandari(home) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Murang'a SEAL(away) | 2-3 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | APS Bomet(home) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Shabana(away) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | KCB(home) | 2-2 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Police wins, 2 draws, 0 Nairobi United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Nairobi United 0-0 Police | FKF Premier League |
| Jan 19, 2026 | Police 1-1 Nairobi United | FKF Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Nairobi United vs Police on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Police score 1.0 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Nairobi United score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Police | 1.0 | 0.5 | 8 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Nairobi United | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Police sit 9th in FKF Premier League (1 point from 1 match) and Nairobi United sit 14th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Police | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 14 | Nairobi United | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 4 |
A question about Police vs Nairobi United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Police vs Nairobi United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Police the favourite at 40%, against 33% for a draw and 27% for Nairobi United.
- Where and when is Police vs Nairobi United played?
- Police vs Nairobi United is played on April 3, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Dr Issoufou Joseph Conombo, in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.