KCB vs Murang'a SEAL: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Kenyatta Stadium, Machakos
The Footlab model makes KCB the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Murang'a SEAL. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win KCB vs Murang'a SEAL?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate KCB (1,482) and Murang'a SEAL (1,456).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KCB have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Murang'a SEAL have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2026 | Bandari(home) | 0-2 | Shield Cup |
| May 31, 2026 | Shabana(away) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 27, 2026 | Sofapaka(away) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Posta Rangers FC(home) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 16, 2026 | Tusker(away) | 0-0 | Shield Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Mara Sugar(home) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 24, 2026 | Bidco United(away) | 2-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | GOR Mahia(home) | 1-3 | FKF Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Homeboyz(home) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Police(away) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 KCB win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Murang'a SEAL win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | KCB 1-1 Murang'a SEAL | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Murang'a SEAL 2-1 KCB | FKF Premier League |
| Feb 9, 2025 | KCB 2-0 Murang'a SEAL | FKF Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Murang'a SEAL 0-2 KCB | FKF Premier League |
| Mar 3, 2024 | KCB 0-0 Murang'a SEAL | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Murang'a SEAL 1-2 KCB | FKF Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
KCB score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Murang'a SEAL score 1.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KCB | 1.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Murang'a SEAL | 1.0 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
KCB sit 7th in FKF Premier League (48 points from 34 matches) and Murang'a SEAL sit 8th (47 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | KCB | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 36 | 37 | 48 |
| 8 | Murang'a SEAL | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 41 | 47 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for KCB vs Murang'a SEAL?
- The Footlab model makes KCB the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Murang'a SEAL.
- Where and when is KCB vs Murang'a SEAL played?
- KCB vs Murang'a SEAL is played on April 3, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Kenyatta Stadium, in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.