Mathare United vs Ulinzi Stars: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Moi International Sports Centre, Nairobi
The Footlab AI model makes Mathare United the favourite at 36%, against 33% for a draw and 31% for Ulinzi Stars. The most likely score is 0-0. If Mathare United wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,618 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mathare United vs Ulinzi Stars?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Mathare United (1,451) and Ulinzi Stars (1,468).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mathare United vs Ulinzi Stars
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mathare United
Not enough data to predict the Mathare United lineup.
Ulinzi Stars
Not enough data to predict the Ulinzi Stars lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 05:50 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mathare United have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Ulinzi Stars have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Ulinzi Stars(away) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Tusker(home) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Migori Youth(away) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | KCB(away) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | APS Bomet(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Mathare United(home) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Kenya Police(away) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Mara Sugar(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Homeboyz(away) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Tusker(home) | 0-2 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Mathare United wins, 2 draws, 2 Ulinzi Stars wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Ulinzi Stars 2-1 Mathare United | FKF Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Ulinzi Stars 2-1 Mathare United | FKF Premier League |
| Jan 16, 2026 | Mathare United 1-0 Ulinzi Stars | FKF Premier League |
| May 17, 2025 | Mathare United 1-0 Ulinzi Stars | FKF Premier League |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Ulinzi Stars 0-0 Mathare United | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 21, 2023 | Mathare United 1-1 Ulinzi Stars | FKF Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Ulinzi Stars vs Mathare United on Nov 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mathare United score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ulinzi Stars score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mathare United | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Ulinzi Stars | 1.0 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mathare United sit 12th in FKF Premier League (5 points from 5 matches) and Ulinzi Stars sit 13th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Mathare United | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| 13 | Ulinzi Stars | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 |
A question about Mathare United vs Ulinzi Stars?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mathare United vs Ulinzi Stars?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mathare United the favourite at 36%, against 33% for a draw and 31% for Ulinzi Stars.
- Where and when is Mathare United vs Ulinzi Stars played?
- Mathare United vs Ulinzi Stars is played on April 3, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Moi International Sports Centre, in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.