Police vs Sunrise: prediction and stats
National Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Kigali Pelé Stadium, Kigali
The Footlab AI model makes Police the favourite at 47%, against 32% for a draw and 21% for Sunrise. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,867 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Police vs Sunrise?
Police starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,661 vs 1,548).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Police vs Sunrise
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Police
Not enough data to predict the Police lineup.
Sunrise
Not enough data to predict the Sunrise lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 05:19 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Police have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Sunrise have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Gorilla(home) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sunrise(away) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Mukura(away) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Gicumbi(home) | 1-2 | National Soccer League |
| May 28, 2026 | Gasogi United(away) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Amagaju(away) | 0-4 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Gasogi United(home) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Police(home) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Rayon Sports(away) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Etincelles(away) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Police wins, 1 draw, 3 Sunrise wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sunrise 1-0 Police | National Soccer League |
| Jan 14, 2024 | Sunrise 2-1 Police | National Soccer League |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Police 2-0 Sunrise | National Soccer League |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Police 2-1 Sunrise | National Soccer League |
| Aug 19, 2022 | Sunrise 1-0 Police | National Soccer League |
| Jan 5, 2020 | Sunrise 2-2 Police | National Soccer League |
How many goals should we expect?
Police score 0.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sunrise score 0.8 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 29% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Police | 0.7 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Sunrise | 0.8 | 1.8 | 2 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Police sit 9th in National Soccer League (4 points from 4 matches) and Sunrise sit 7th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Sunrise | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 |
| 9 | Police | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
A question about Police vs Sunrise?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Police vs Sunrise?
- The Footlab AI model makes Police the favourite at 47%, against 32% for a draw and 21% for Sunrise.
- Where and when is Police vs Sunrise played?
- Police vs Sunrise is played on February 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Kigali Pelé Stadium, in the National Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.