Police XI vs Morupule Wanderers: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 1Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Otse Stadium, Otse
The Footlab model makes Morupule Wanderers the favourite at 40%, against 35% for a draw and 26% for Police XI. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Police XI vs Morupule Wanderers?
Morupule Wanderers starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,465 vs 1,347).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Police XI have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Morupule Wanderers have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Morupule Wanderers(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| May 13, 2026 | Orapa United(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Black Lions(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Township Rollers(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Galaxy(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Police XI(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| May 13, 2026 | Galaxy(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Sua Flamingoes(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Nico United(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Calendar(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Police XI win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Morupule Wanderers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Morupule Wanderers 2-0 Police XI | Premier League |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Police XI 0-0 Morupule Wanderers | Premier League |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Morupule Wanderers 1-1 Police XI | Premier League |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Police XI 1-0 Morupule Wanderers | Premier League |
| Dec 10, 2022 | Morupule Wanderers 2-0 Police XI | Premier League |
| Feb 3, 2022 | Police XI 1-1 Morupule Wanderers | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Morupule Wanderers vs Police XI on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Police XI score 0.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Morupule Wanderers score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 25% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Police XI | 0.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Morupule Wanderers | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Police XI sit 11th in Premier League (32 points from 30 matches) and Morupule Wanderers sit 5th (47 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Morupule Wanderers | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 41 | 33 | 47 |
| 11 | Police XI | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 18 | 29 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Police XI vs Morupule Wanderers?
- The Footlab model makes Morupule Wanderers the favourite at 40%, against 35% for a draw and 26% for Police XI.
- Where and when is Police XI vs Morupule Wanderers played?
- Police XI vs Morupule Wanderers is played on August 30, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Otse Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 25% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.