Gaborone United vs Prisons XI: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 1Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Botswana National Stadium, Gaborone
The Footlab model makes Gaborone United the favourite at 79%, against 15% for a draw and 6% for Prisons XI. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gaborone United vs Prisons XI?
Gaborone United is a heavy favourite: 1,708 Elo points against 1,230 — a 479-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gaborone United have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Prisons XI have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | BDF XI(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| May 20, 2026 | Centre Chiefs(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 13, 2026 | Calendar(home) | 5-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | TAFIC(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Orapa United(home) | 6-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 3, 2023 | Sua Flamingoes(away) | 0-6 | Premier League |
| May 31, 2023 | Security Systems(away) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| May 21, 2023 | Eleven Angels(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| May 13, 2023 | Holy Ghost(home) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Apr 29, 2023 | Orapa United(away) | 0-4 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Gaborone United win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Prisons XI win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2023 | Prisons XI 2-2 Gaborone United | Premier League |
| Jan 21, 2023 | Gaborone United 3-0 Prisons XI | Premier League |
| Mar 20, 2022 | Prisons XI 0-7 Gaborone United | Premier League |
| Dec 19, 2021 | Gaborone United 7-0 Prisons XI | Premier League |
| Nov 3, 2019 | Gaborone United 1-0 Prisons XI | Premier League |
| Feb 13, 2019 | Prisons XI 1-3 Gaborone United | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Prisons XI vs Gaborone United on Apr 26, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Gaborone United score 2.1 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Prisons XI score 0.7 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gaborone United | 2.1 | 0.5 | 11 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
| Prisons XI | 0.7 | 2.2 | 2 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gaborone United | 30 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 62 | 15 | 74 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gaborone United vs Prisons XI?
- The Footlab model makes Gaborone United the favourite at 79%, against 15% for a draw and 6% for Prisons XI.
- Where and when is Gaborone United vs Prisons XI played?
- Gaborone United vs Prisons XI is played on August 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Botswana National Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.