Sua Flamingoes vs Matebele: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 1Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Sowa Town Council Stadium, Sowa
The Footlab model makes Sua Flamingoes the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Matebele. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sua Flamingoes vs Matebele?
Sua Flamingoes starts as the favourite with a 214-point Elo edge (1,568 vs 1,354).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sua Flamingoes have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Matebele have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Matebele(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| May 13, 2026 | Black Lions(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Morupule Wanderers(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Galaxy(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 11, 2026 | BDF XI(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Sua Flamingoes(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| May 12, 2026 | Township Rollers(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Galaxy(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Santa Green(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Nico United(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Sua Flamingoes win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Matebele win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Matebele 1-2 Sua Flamingoes | Premier League |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Sua Flamingoes 0-1 Matebele | Premier League |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Sua Flamingoes 4-1 Matebele | Premier League |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Matebele 1-2 Sua Flamingoes | Premier League |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Sua Flamingoes 2-1 Matebele | Premier League |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Matebele 2-1 Sua Flamingoes | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Matebele vs Sua Flamingoes on May 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sua Flamingoes score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Matebele score 0.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sua Flamingoes | 1.9 | 1.0 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Matebele | 0.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sua Flamingoes sit 3rd in Premier League (59 points from 30 matches) and Matebele sit 10th (33 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sua Flamingoes | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 44 | 30 | 59 |
| 10 | Matebele | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 29 | 37 | 33 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sua Flamingoes vs Matebele?
- The Footlab model makes Sua Flamingoes the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Matebele.
- Where and when is Sua Flamingoes vs Matebele played?
- Sua Flamingoes vs Matebele is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Sowa Town Council Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.