BDF XI vs Nico United: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 1Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)SSKB-Stadium, Gaborone
The Footlab model makes Nico United the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for BDF XI. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win BDF XI vs Nico United?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate BDF XI (1,339) and Nico United (1,387).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BDF XI have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Nico United have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Gaborone United(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| May 12, 2026 | Centre Chiefs(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Township Rollers(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Extension Gunners(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Sua Flamingoes(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Orapa United(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 13, 2026 | Extension Gunners(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| May 5, 2026 | TAFIC(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Morupule Wanderers(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Matebele(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 BDF XI win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Nico United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | BDF XI 1-1 Nico United | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Nico United 2-1 BDF XI | Premier League |
| May 17, 2025 | BDF XI 1-2 Nico United | Premier League |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Nico United 0-0 BDF XI | Premier League |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Nico United 0-0 BDF XI | Premier League |
| Nov 25, 2023 | BDF XI 1-1 Nico United | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: BDF XI vs Nico United on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
BDF XI score 0.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Nico United score 0.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BDF XI | 0.9 | 1.8 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Nico United | 0.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
BDF XI sit 12th in Premier League (30 points from 30 matches) and Nico United sit 8th (42 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nico United | 30 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 25 | 25 | 42 |
| 12 | BDF XI | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 30 | 42 | 30 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for BDF XI vs Nico United?
- The Footlab model makes Nico United the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for BDF XI.
- Where and when is BDF XI vs Nico United played?
- BDF XI vs Nico United is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at SSKB-Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.