UCSA vs Polissya II: prediction and stats
Persha LigaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion NTK im. B. M. Bannikova, Kyiv
The Footlab AI model makes Polissya II the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for UCSA. The most likely score is 1-1. If Polissya II wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win UCSA vs Polissya II?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate UCSA (1,637) and Polissya II (1,682).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for UCSA vs Polissya II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
UCSA
4-3-3- 9O. Khoblenko
- 71Ruan Santos
- 22Yegor Rogach
- 6R. Yuvkhimets
- 49Vitinho
- 73P. Castro
- 42D. Makhnev
- 15O. Osman
- 35Hiago
- 45D. Sabiyev
- 12A. Kovalev
Polissya II
4-3-3- 62M. Danfakha
- 28B. Makouana
- 97M. Hryshchenko
- 38Y. Karaman
- 72V. Kramar
- 88B. Panchyshyn
- 33V. Mezentsev
- 3Oleksii Avramenko
- 94D. Gryshkevych
- 4M. Kravchenko
- 12A. Drobot
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 09:10 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UCSA have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Polissya II have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Yarud Mariupol'(home) | 1-2 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk(away) | 2-3 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka(home) | 0-0 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Prykarpattia(away) | 0-1 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Chernihiv(home) | 3-2 | Persha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Kulykiv(home) | 2-4 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Lokomotiv Kyiv(away) | 3-3 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka II(home) | 0-3 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Yarud Mariupol'(away) | 1-2 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk(home) | 3-2 | Persha Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 UCSA wins, 1 draw, 0 Polissya II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Polissya II 2-2 UCSA | Persha Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
UCSA score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Polissya II score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCSA | 1.2 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Polissya II | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
UCSA sit 14th in Persha Liga (10 points from 11 matches) and Polissya II sit 16th (7 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | UCSA | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 10 |
| 16 | Polissya II | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 24 | 7 |
A question about UCSA vs Polissya II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for UCSA vs Polissya II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Polissya II the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for UCSA.
- Where and when is UCSA vs Polissya II played?
- UCSA vs Polissya II is played on November 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion NTK im. B. M. Bannikova, in the Persha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.