Polonia Nysa vs Ślęza Wrocław: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 6Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion KS Polonia Nysa, Nysa
The Footlab model makes Polonia Nysa the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Ślęza Wrocław. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Polonia Nysa vs Ślęza Wrocław?
Ślęza Wrocław starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,728 vs 1,620).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polonia Nysa have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Ślęza Wrocław have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Stal Brzeg(home) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stilon Gorzów(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Zagłębie Lubin II(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Odra Bytom Odrzański(away) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(away) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec(away) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Stal Brzeg(away) | 1-5 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stilon Gorzów(away) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Polonia Nysa win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Ślęza Wrocław win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | Polonia Nysa 1-3 Ślęza Wrocław | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Ślęza Wrocław 2-1 Polonia Nysa | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 6, 2023 | Ślęza Wrocław 1-0 Polonia Nysa | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Oct 1, 2022 | Polonia Nysa 0-3 Ślęza Wrocław | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 29, 2021 | Polonia Nysa 3-3 Ślęza Wrocław | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Nov 18, 2020 | Ślęza Wrocław 4-2 Polonia Nysa | III Liga - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Polonia Nysa vs Ślęza Wrocław on Mar 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Polonia Nysa score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ślęza Wrocław score 1.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polonia Nysa | 1.2 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Ślęza Wrocław | 1.3 | 2.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Polonia Nysa sit 13th in III Liga - Group 3 (5 points from 5 matches) and Ślęza Wrocław sit 16th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Polonia Nysa | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 5 |
| 16 | Ślęza Wrocław | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Polonia Nysa vs Ślęza Wrocław?
- The Footlab model makes Polonia Nysa the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Ślęza Wrocław.
- Where and when is Polonia Nysa vs Ślęza Wrocław played?
- Polonia Nysa vs Ślęza Wrocław is played on August 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion KS Polonia Nysa, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 28, 2026Miedź Legnica IIvsStilon Gorzów
- Aug 28, 2026Carina GubinvsBarycz Sułów
- Aug 28, 2026KluczborkvsStal Brzeg
- Aug 29, 2026Sparta KatowicevsZaglebie Sosnowiec
- Aug 29, 2026Rakow IIvsGoczałkowice Zdrój
- Aug 29, 2026Karkonosze Jelenia GóravsOdra Bytom Odrzański
- Aug 29, 2026Warta GorzówvsZagłębie Lubin II
- Aug 29, 2026SłowianinvsGoczałkowice Zdrój