Where and when is Polonia Warszawa vs Pogoń Siedlce played?

Polonia Warszawa vs Pogoń Siedlce is played on February 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Polonii im. generała Kazimierza Sosnkowskiego, in the I Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Polonia Warszawa vs Pogoń Siedlce: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Polonii im. generała Kazimierza Sosnkowskiego, Warszawa

Polonia Warszawa

Pogoń Siedlce

The Footlab model makes Polonia Warszawa the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Pogoń Siedlce. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Polonia Warszawa vs Pogoń Siedlce?

Polonia Warszawa starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,886 vs 1,759).

Polonia Warszawa win55 %

Draw25 %

Pogoń Siedlce win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polonia Warszawa have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Pogoń Siedlce have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Polonia Warszawa
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Nieciecza(away)	3-1	I Liga
Aug 15, 2026	Pogoń Siedlce(away)	0-1	I Liga
Aug 7, 2026	Ruch Chorzów(home)	1-1	I Liga
Aug 1, 2026	Unia Skierniewice(home)	3-1	I Liga
Jul 26, 2026	Puszcza Niepołomice(away)	1-0	I Liga

Pogoń Siedlce
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Lechia Gdansk(away)	0-1	I Liga
Aug 15, 2026	Polonia Warszawa(home)	1-0	I Liga
Aug 7, 2026	Polonia Bytom(away)	2-2	I Liga
Aug 1, 2026	Nieciecza(home)	1-2	I Liga
Jul 25, 2026	ŁKS Łódź(home)	1-1	I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Polonia Warszawa win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Pogoń Siedlce win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Pogoń Siedlce 1-0 Polonia Warszawa	I Liga
Nov 29, 2025	Polonia Warszawa 2-0 Pogoń Siedlce	I Liga
Jul 20, 2025	Pogoń Siedlce 1-1 Polonia Warszawa	I Liga
Apr 9, 2025	Polonia Warszawa 2-1 Pogoń Siedlce	I Liga
Sep 22, 2024	Pogoń Siedlce 2-4 Polonia Warszawa	I Liga
Jan 27, 2024	Polonia Warszawa 0-2 Pogoń Siedlce	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Pogoń Siedlce vs Polonia Warszawa on Aug 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Polonia Warszawa score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Pogoń Siedlce score 1.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Polonia Warszawa	1.5	1.7	1	10/15	10/15
Pogoń Siedlce	1.1	1.8	3	8/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Polonia Warszawa sit 4th in I Liga (10 points from 5 matches) and Pogoń Siedlce sit 14th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Polonia Warszawa	5	3	1	1	8	4	10
14	Pogoń Siedlce	5	1	2	2	5	6	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Polonia Warszawa vs Pogoń Siedlce?: The Footlab model makes Polonia Warszawa the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Pogoń Siedlce.
Where and when is Polonia Warszawa vs Pogoń Siedlce played?: Polonia Warszawa vs Pogoń Siedlce is played on February 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Polonii im. generała Kazimierza Sosnkowskiego, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.