Where and when is Stal Rzeszów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki played?

Stal Rzeszów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki is played on February 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Stal, in the I Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Stal Rzeszów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Stal, Rzeszów

Stal Rzeszów

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

The Footlab model makes Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Stal Rzeszów. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stal Rzeszów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,835 vs 1,723).

Stal Rzeszów win30 %

Draw25 %

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki win45 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stal Rzeszów have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stal Rzeszów
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Ruch Chorzów(home)	0-1	I Liga
Aug 14, 2026	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(away)	1-1	I Liga
Aug 8, 2026	Stal Mielec(away)	1-1	I Liga
Aug 1, 2026	Arka Gdynia(away)	0-4	I Liga
Jul 25, 2026	Chrobry Głogów(home)	1-5	I Liga

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Polonia Bytom(away)	2-2	I Liga
Aug 14, 2026	Stal Rzeszów(home)	1-1	I Liga
Aug 8, 2026	Miedz Legnica(away)	1-0	I Liga
Aug 2, 2026	Puszcza Niepołomice(home)	1-0	I Liga
Jul 25, 2026	Lechia Gdansk(away)	3-0	I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Stal Rzeszów win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1-1 Stal Rzeszów	I Liga
Jan 21, 2026	Stal Rzeszów 1-1 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	Friendlies Clubs
Dec 1, 2025	Stal Rzeszów 1-0 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	I Liga
Jul 19, 2025	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 2-1 Stal Rzeszów	I Liga
Jul 27, 2022	Stal Rzeszów 1-0 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	Cup
Nov 27, 2021	Stal Rzeszów 3-1 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	II Liga - East

Last archived meeting: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Stal Rzeszów on Aug 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Stal Rzeszów score 1.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Stal Rzeszów	1.3	2.3	1	11/15	11/15
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1.1	1.2	6	8/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Stal Rzeszów sit 18th in I Liga (2 points from 5 matches) and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki sit 1st (11 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	5	3	2	0	8	3	11
18	Stal Rzeszów	5	0	2	3	3	12	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stal Rzeszów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?: The Footlab model makes Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Stal Rzeszów.
Where and when is Stal Rzeszów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki played?: Stal Rzeszów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki is played on February 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Stal, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.