Puszcza Niepołomice vs Arka Gdynia: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski w Niepołomicach, Niepołomice
The Footlab model makes Arka Gdynia the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Puszcza Niepołomice. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Puszcza Niepołomice vs Arka Gdynia?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Puszcza Niepołomice (1,836) and Arka Gdynia (1,900).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Puszcza Niepołomice have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Arka Gdynia have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Unia Skierniewice(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(away) | 0-3 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Odra Opole(home) | 3-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(away) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Miedz Legnica(away) | 0-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Puszcza Niepołomice(home) | 3-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Unia Skierniewice(away) | 0-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stal Rzeszów(home) | 4-0 | I Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Odra Opole(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Puszcza Niepołomice win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Arka Gdynia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Arka Gdynia 3-0 Puszcza Niepołomice | I Liga |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Arka Gdynia 1-1 Puszcza Niepołomice | I Liga |
| Oct 2, 2022 | Puszcza Niepołomice 2-0 Arka Gdynia | I Liga |
| Apr 10, 2022 | Puszcza Niepołomice 2-3 Arka Gdynia | I Liga |
| Sep 25, 2021 | Arka Gdynia 2-0 Puszcza Niepołomice | I Liga |
| Mar 7, 2021 | Puszcza Niepołomice 4-0 Arka Gdynia | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Arka Gdynia vs Puszcza Niepołomice on Aug 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Puszcza Niepołomice score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Arka Gdynia score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puszcza Niepołomice | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Arka Gdynia | 1.2 | 1.5 | 6 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Puszcza Niepołomice sit 17th in I Liga (3 points from 5 matches) and Arka Gdynia sit 5th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Arka Gdynia | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 9 |
| 17 | Puszcza Niepołomice | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Puszcza Niepołomice vs Arka Gdynia?
- The Footlab model makes Arka Gdynia the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Puszcza Niepołomice.
- Where and when is Puszcza Niepołomice vs Arka Gdynia played?
- Puszcza Niepołomice vs Arka Gdynia is played on February 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski w Niepołomicach, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 20, 2027Miedz LegnicavsUnia Skierniewice
- Feb 20, 2027Lechia GdanskvsRuch Chorzów
- Feb 20, 2027NiecieczavsŁKS Łódź
- Feb 20, 2027PodbeskidzievsChrobry Głogów
- Feb 20, 2027Warta PoznańvsOdra Opole
- Feb 20, 2027Stal RzeszówvsPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
- Feb 20, 2027Polonia BytomvsStal Mielec
- Feb 20, 2027Polonia WarszawavsPogoń Siedlce