Where and when is Polonia Bytom vs Stal Mielec played?

Polonia Bytom vs Stal Mielec is played on February 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Polonii Bytom, in the I Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Polonia Bytom vs Stal Mielec: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Polonii Bytom, Bytom

Polonia Bytom

Stal Mielec

The Footlab model makes Polonia Bytom the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Stal Mielec. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Polonia Bytom vs Stal Mielec?

A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Polonia Bytom (1,842) and Stal Mielec (1,821).

Polonia Bytom win47 %

Draw23 %

Stal Mielec win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polonia Bytom have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Stal Mielec have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Polonia Bytom
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home)	2-2	I Liga
Aug 16, 2026	Stal Mielec(away)	2-5	I Liga
Aug 7, 2026	Pogoń Siedlce(home)	2-2	I Liga
Jul 31, 2026	ŁKS Łódź(away)	1-2	I Liga
Jul 24, 2026	Warta Poznań(home)	4-3	I Liga

Stal Mielec
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	ŁKS Łódź(away)	0-4	I Liga
Aug 16, 2026	Polonia Bytom(home)	5-2	I Liga
Aug 8, 2026	Stal Rzeszów(home)	1-1	I Liga
Aug 2, 2026	Podbeskidzie(home)	3-3	I Liga
Jul 26, 2026	Unia Skierniewice(away)	2-1	I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Polonia Bytom win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Stal Mielec win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2026	Stal Mielec 5-2 Polonia Bytom	I Liga
May 24, 2026	Stal Mielec 4-1 Polonia Bytom	I Liga
Nov 22, 2025	Polonia Bytom 4-1 Stal Mielec	I Liga

Last archived meeting: Stal Mielec vs Polonia Bytom on Aug 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Polonia Bytom score 2.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Stal Mielec score 2.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Polonia Bytom	2.1	2.3	2	13/15	13/15
Stal Mielec	2.1	1.9	0	13/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Polonia Bytom sit 15th in I Liga (5 points from 5 matches) and Stal Mielec sit 7th (8 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Stal Mielec	5	2	2	1	11	11	8
15	Polonia Bytom	5	1	2	2	11	14	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Polonia Bytom vs Stal Mielec?: The Footlab model makes Polonia Bytom the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Stal Mielec.
Where and when is Polonia Bytom vs Stal Mielec played?: Polonia Bytom vs Stal Mielec is played on February 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Polonii Bytom, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.