Match

Polonia Bytom vs Stal Mielec: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Polonii Bytom, Bytom

Polonia BytomStal Mielec

The Footlab AI model makes Polonia Bytom the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Stal Mielec. The most likely score is 1-1. If Polonia Bytom wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,243 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Polonia Bytom vs Stal Mielec?

A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Polonia Bytom (1,818) and Stal Mielec (1,744).

46%26%28%
Polonia Bytom winDrawStal Mielec win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Polonia Bytom vs Stal Mielec

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Polonia Bytom

4-3-3
  1. 9K. Wojtyra
  2. 29D. Harwin
  3. 36D. Kondracki
  1. 17K. Wołkowicz
  2. 22K. Orlik
  3. 14G. Szymusik
  1. 30O. Krzyżak
  2. 77J. Szymański
  3. 25D. Konieczny
  4. 13A. Gajgier
  1. 1W. Banasik

Stal Mielec

4-4-1-1
  1. 78K. Cybulski
  1. 32F. Gerbowski
  2. 7M. Cebula
  3. 18P. Wlazło
  4. 19T. Gmur
  5. 23K. Getinger
  1. 44Israel Puerto
  2. 14K. Kościelny
  3. 94B. Kwiecień
  4. 5H. Matynia
  1. 99M. Gostomski

Computed on November 10, 2026 at 03:52 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polonia Bytom have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Stal Mielec have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Polonia Bytom
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Lechia Gdansk(home)1-0I Liga
Nov 2, 2026Odra Opole(home)3-0I Liga
Oct 29, 2026Chrobry Głogów(away)0-2Cup
Oct 24, 2026Unia Skierniewice(away)2-1I Liga
Oct 17, 2026Chrobry Głogów(home)3-2I Liga
Stal Mielec
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Ruch Chorzów(home)2-0I Liga
Oct 30, 2026Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(away)1-0I Liga
Oct 24, 2026Chrobry Głogów(home)0-0I Liga
Oct 17, 2026Miedz Legnica(away)0-3I Liga
Oct 11, 2026Warta Poznań(home)2-1I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Polonia Bytom win, 0 draws, 2 Stal Mielec wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Stal Mielec 5-2 Polonia BytomI Liga
May 24, 2026Stal Mielec 4-1 Polonia BytomI Liga
Nov 22, 2025Polonia Bytom 4-1 Stal MielecI Liga

Last archived meeting: Stal Mielec vs Polonia Bytom on Aug 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Polonia Bytom score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Stal Mielec score 1.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Polonia Bytom1.51.559/159/15
Stal Mielec1.52.039/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Polonia Bytom sit 3rd in I Liga (24 points from 14 matches) and Stal Mielec sit 11th (19 points from 14 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Polonia Bytom14662242024
11Stal Mielec14545192719

A question about Polonia Bytom vs Stal Mielec?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Polonia Bytom vs Stal Mielec?
The Footlab AI model makes Polonia Bytom the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Stal Mielec.
Where and when is Polonia Bytom vs Stal Mielec played?
Polonia Bytom vs Stal Mielec is played on February 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Polonii Bytom, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Polonia Bytom and Stal Mielec

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