Pontevedra II vs Alondras: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 · Matchday 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Pasarón, Pontevedra
The Footlab AI model makes Pontevedra II the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Alondras. The most likely score is 1-1. If Pontevedra II wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,487 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pontevedra II vs Alondras?
A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Pontevedra II (1,623) and Alondras (1,718).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pontevedra II vs Alondras
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pontevedra II
Not enough data to predict the Pontevedra II lineup.
Alondras
Not enough data to predict the Alondras lineup.
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 01:33 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pontevedra II have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Alondras have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Sarriana(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Antela(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Silva(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Lalin(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Portonovo SD(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Viveiro(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Estradense(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Villalbés(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Boiro(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Celtiga(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Pontevedra II wins, 1 draw, 0 Alondras wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Alondras 2-6 Pontevedra II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 5, 2024 | Pontevedra II 2-0 Alondras | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Jan 14, 2024 | Alondras 1-1 Pontevedra II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Alondras vs Pontevedra II on Sep 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pontevedra II score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Alondras score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pontevedra II | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Alondras | 1.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pontevedra II sit 10th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 (13 points from 9 matches) and Alondras sit 12th (12 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pontevedra II | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 13 |
| 12 | Alondras | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 12 |
A question about Pontevedra II vs Alondras?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pontevedra II vs Alondras?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pontevedra II the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Alondras.
- Where and when is Pontevedra II vs Alondras played?
- Pontevedra II vs Alondras is played on January 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Pasarón, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.