Celtiga vs Silva: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Salvador Otero, A Illa de Arousa
The Footlab model makes Celtiga the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Silva. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celtiga vs Silva?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Celtiga (1,699) and Silva (1,712).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celtiga have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Silva have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Arosa(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 1, 2026 | Atlético Arteixo(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Noia(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Villalbés(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Barbadás(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Atlético Arteixo(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Noia(home) | 5-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Villalbés(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Barbadás(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Alondras(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Celtiga win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Silva win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | Silva 1-0 Celtiga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Celtiga 2-0 Silva | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Celtiga score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Silva score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtiga | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Silva | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Celtiga sit 13th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 (40 points from 34 matches) and Silva sit 15th (36 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Celtiga | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 47 | 48 | 40 |
| 15 | Silva | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 36 | 48 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celtiga vs Silva?
- The Footlab model makes Celtiga the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Silva.
- Where and when is Celtiga vs Silva played?
- Celtiga vs Silva is played on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Salvador Otero, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.