Pontevedra vs Arenas Getxo: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 2Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Pasarón, Pontevedra
The Footlab model makes Pontevedra the favourite at 66%, against 22% for a draw and 12% for Arenas Getxo. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pontevedra vs Arenas Getxo?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Pontevedra (1,988) and Arenas Getxo (1,900).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pontevedra have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Arenas Getxo have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Coruxo(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ourense CF(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Estradense(away) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Arosa(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruña II(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Laredo(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Eibar(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Zamora(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Real Madrid II(away) | 3-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | Racing Ferrol(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Pontevedra win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Arenas Getxo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Arenas Getxo 1-0 Pontevedra | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Pontevedra 2-0 Arenas Getxo | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Arenas Getxo vs Pontevedra on Apr 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pontevedra score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Arenas Getxo score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pontevedra | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Arenas Getxo | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pontevedra sit 6th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (58 points from 38 matches) and Arenas Getxo sit 11th (52 points from 38 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pontevedra | 38 | 14 | 16 | 8 | 49 | 31 | 58 |
| 11 | Arenas Getxo | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 46 | 55 | 52 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pontevedra vs Arenas Getxo?
- The Footlab model makes Pontevedra the favourite at 66%, against 22% for a draw and 12% for Arenas Getxo.
- Where and when is Pontevedra vs Arenas Getxo played?
- Pontevedra vs Arenas Getxo is played on September 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Pasarón, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.