Match

Pontivy GSI vs Stade Briochin: prediction and stats

National 2 - Group BGroup B - 15Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade du Faubourg de Verdun, Pontivy

Pontivy GSIStade Briochin

The Footlab model makes Pontivy GSI the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Stade Briochin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pontivy GSI vs Stade Briochin?

A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Pontivy GSI (1,740) and Stade Briochin (1,755).

Pontivy GSI win41 %
Draw28 %
Stade Briochin win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pontivy GSI have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Stade Briochin have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pontivy GSI
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Saint-Malo(away)1-1National 2 - Group B
Jul 31, 2026Concarneau(away)1-5Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026Vannes(home)3-2National 3 - Group C
May 9, 2026Vire(away)0-0National 3 - Group C
Apr 25, 2026Ergué-Gaberic(home)3-0National 3 - Group C
Stade Briochin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Le Poiré sur Vie(home)1-0National 2 - Group B
Aug 5, 2026Stade Brestois 29(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
May 15, 2026Versailles(away)2-2Ligue 3
May 9, 2026Quevilly(home)3-0Ligue 3
May 1, 2026Aubagne(away)2-1Ligue 3

How many goals should we expect?

Pontivy GSI score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Stade Briochin score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pontivy GSI1.71.368/159/15
Stade Briochin1.31.3410/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pontivy GSI sit 7th in National 2 - Group B (1 points from 1 matches) and Stade Briochin sit 5th (3 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Stade Briochin1100103
7Pontivy GSI1010111

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pontivy GSI vs Stade Briochin?
The Footlab model makes Pontivy GSI the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Stade Briochin.
Where and when is Pontivy GSI vs Stade Briochin played?
Pontivy GSI vs Stade Briochin is played on January 23, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade du Faubourg de Verdun, in the National 2 - Group B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Pontivy GSI and Stade Briochin

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