Chauray vs Saumur: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group BGroup B - 15Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade Municipal, Chauray
The Footlab AI model makes Chauray the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Saumur. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chauray wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chauray vs Saumur?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Chauray (1,645) and Saumur (1,615).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chauray vs Saumur
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chauray
Not enough data to predict the Chauray lineup.
Saumur
Not enough data to predict the Saumur lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:31 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chauray have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Saumur have 1, 5 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Avranches(home) | 0-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Dinan Léhon(away) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Les Herbiers(home) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Angoulême(away) | 0-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Châteaubriant(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Saint-Malo(away) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Stade Briochin(home) | 1-4 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Le Poiré sur Vie(away) | 0-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Pontivy GSI(home) | 2-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Bayonne(away) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Chauray win, 1 draw, 0 Saumur wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Saumur 1-3 Chauray | National 2 - Group A |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Chauray 3-3 Saumur | National 2 - Group A |
How many goals should we expect?
Chauray score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Saumur score 0.7 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chauray | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Saumur | 0.7 | 2.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chauray sit 16th in National 2 - Group B (1 point from 6 matches) and Saumur sit 13th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Saumur | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 4 |
| 16 | Chauray | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 1 |
A question about Chauray vs Saumur?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chauray vs Saumur?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chauray the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Saumur.
- Where and when is Chauray vs Saumur played?
- Chauray vs Saumur is played on January 23, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Municipal, in the National 2 - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.