Bayonne vs Saint-Malo: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group BGroup B - 15Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade Didier Deschamps, Bayonne
The Footlab model makes Bayonne the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Saint-Malo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bayonne vs Saint-Malo?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Bayonne (1,823) and Saint-Malo (1,826).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bayonne have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Saint-Malo have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Granville(away) | 3-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 16, 2026 | Saumur(home) | 3-2 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 9, 2026 | Châteaubriant(away) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 2, 2026 | Bordeaux(home) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group A |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Avranches(away) | 2-0 | National 2 - Group A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pontivy GSI(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 16, 2026 | Montlouis(away) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 9, 2026 | Dinan Léhon(home) | 2-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 2, 2026 | Lorient II(away) | 0-3 | National 2 - Group A |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Saint-Colomban Locminé(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Bayonne win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Saint-Malo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Saint-Malo 2-0 Bayonne | National 2 - Group A |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Bayonne 1-1 Saint-Malo | National 2 - Group A |
Last archived meeting: Saint-Malo vs Bayonne on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bayonne score 1.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Saint-Malo score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayonne | 1.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Saint-Malo | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bayonne sit 2nd in National 2 - Group B (3 points from 1 matches) and Saint-Malo sit 8th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bayonne | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Saint-Malo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bayonne vs Saint-Malo?
- The Footlab model makes Bayonne the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Saint-Malo.
- Where and when is Bayonne vs Saint-Malo played?
- Bayonne vs Saint-Malo is played on January 23, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Didier Deschamps, in the National 2 - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.