Bayonne vs Saint-Malo: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group BGroup B · Matchday 15Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade Didier Deschamps, Bayonne
The Footlab AI model makes Bayonne the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Saint-Malo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bayonne wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 5,941 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bayonne vs Saint-Malo?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Bayonne (1,879) and Saint-Malo (1,870).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bayonne vs Saint-Malo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bayonne
Not enough data to predict the Bayonne lineup.
Saint-Malo
Not enough data to predict the Saint-Malo lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 05:18 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bayonne have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Saint-Malo have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Chauray(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Avranches(home) | 0-3 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Dinan Léhon(away) | 2-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Les Herbiers(home) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Angoulême(away) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | Angoulême(away) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Châteaubriant(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Lorient II(away) | 1-3 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Saumur(home) | 2-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Granville(away) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Bayonne wins, 1 draw, 1 Saint-Malo win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Saint-Malo 2-0 Bayonne | National 2 - Group A |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Bayonne 1-1 Saint-Malo | National 2 - Group A |
Last archived meeting: Saint-Malo vs Bayonne on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bayonne score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Saint-Malo score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayonne | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Saint-Malo | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bayonne sit 3rd in National 2 - Group B (17 points from 9 matches) and Saint-Malo sit 8th (12 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bayonne | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 17 |
| 8 | Saint-Malo | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 12 |
A question about Bayonne vs Saint-Malo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bayonne vs Saint-Malo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bayonne the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Saint-Malo.
- Where and when is Bayonne vs Saint-Malo played?
- Bayonne vs Saint-Malo is played on January 23, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Didier Deschamps, in the National 2 - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.