Bayonne vs Saint-Malo: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group BGroup B · Matchday 15Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade Didier Deschamps, Bayonne
The Footlab AI model makes Bayonne the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Saint-Malo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bayonne wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,775 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bayonne vs Saint-Malo?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Bayonne (1,879) and Saint-Malo (1,870).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bayonne vs Saint-Malo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bayonne
Not enough data to predict the Bayonne lineup.
Saint-Malo
Not enough data to predict the Saint-Malo lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 05:18 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bayonne have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Saint-Malo have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Chauray(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Avranches(home) | 0-3 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Dinan Léhon(away) | 2-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Les Herbiers(home) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Angoulême(away) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | Angoulême(away) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Châteaubriant(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Lorient II(away) | 1-3 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Saumur(home) | 2-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Granville(away) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Bayonne wins, 1 draw, 1 Saint-Malo win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Saint-Malo 2-0 Bayonne | National 2 - Group A |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Bayonne 1-1 Saint-Malo | National 2 - Group A |
Last archived meeting: Saint-Malo vs Bayonne on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bayonne score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Saint-Malo score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayonne | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Saint-Malo | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bayonne sit 3rd in National 2 - Group B (17 points from 9 matches) and Saint-Malo sit 8th (12 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bayonne | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 17 |
| 8 | Saint-Malo | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 12 |
A question about Bayonne vs Saint-Malo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bayonne vs Saint-Malo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bayonne the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Saint-Malo.
- Where and when is Bayonne vs Saint-Malo played?
- Bayonne vs Saint-Malo is played on January 23, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Didier Deschamps, in the National 2 - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.