Tarbes vs Granville: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group BGroup B - 15Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade Maurice Trélut 2 - Terrain B, Tarbes
The Footlab AI model makes Tarbes the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Granville. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tarbes wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,496 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tarbes vs Granville?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Tarbes (1,753) and Granville (1,769).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tarbes vs Granville
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tarbes
4-3-3- 9Y. Fellrath
- 6B. Ait Malek
- 11V. Delanys
- 7Sofiane El Bekri
- 33Alexandre Amorin
- 22M. Cato
- 31A. Ben Aicha
- 2J. Willock
- 4P. Bentayou
- 17Faris Sinare
- 1T. Navaux
Granville
Not enough data to predict the Granville lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 09:35 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tarbes have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Granville have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Chauray(home) | 2-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Avranches(away) | 0-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dinan Léhon(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Les Herbiers(away) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Angoulême(home) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Lorient II(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Saumur(away) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Saint-Colomban Locminé(home) | 2-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Saint-Malo(home) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Stade Briochin(away) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group B |
How many goals should we expect?
Tarbes score 1.6 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Granville score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarbes | 1.6 | 0.8 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Granville | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tarbes sit 7th in National 2 - Group B (12 points from 8 matches) and Granville sit 5th (12 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Granville | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 12 |
| 7 | Tarbes | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 |
A question about Tarbes vs Granville?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tarbes vs Granville?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tarbes the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Granville.
- Where and when is Tarbes vs Granville played?
- Tarbes vs Granville is played on January 23, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Maurice Trélut 2 - Terrain B, in the National 2 - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.