Popayan vs Ind. Yumbo: prediction and stats
Primera BClausura - Quadrangular - 5Kick-off on November 11, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, Santiago de Cali
The Footlab AI model makes Popayan the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Ind. Yumbo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Popayan wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,204 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Popayan vs Ind. Yumbo?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Popayan (1,517) and Ind. Yumbo (1,553).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Popayan vs Ind. Yumbo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Popayan
4-3-3- 18H. Mosquera
- 21P. Urrutia
- 7J. Cuero
- 17J. Andrade
- 10M. Aponza
- 34D. Cortes
- 35J. Viveros
- 3Kevin Hurtado
- 20Y. Andrade
- 26H. Ortiz
- 12E. Obando
Ind. Yumbo
4-3-3- 5J. Díaz
- 7H. Mena
- 9A. García
- 17L. Quiñones
- 8T. Diaz
- 20J. Rubiano
- 3D. Ferrer
- 27J. Ampudia
- 4J. Rodriguez
- 15J. Perdomo
- 22J. Méndez
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 10:21 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Popayan have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Ind. Yumbo have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Envigado(home) | 1-0 | Primera B |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Ind. Yumbo(away) | 4-2 | Primera B |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Union Magdalena(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Internacional Palmira(home) | 2-1 | Primera B |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Ind. Yumbo(away) | 0-3 | Primera B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Union Magdalena(away) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Popayan(home) | 2-4 | Primera B |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Envigado(away) | 0-2 | Primera B |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Real Soacha(away) | 0-1 | Primera B |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Popayan(home) | 3-0 | Primera B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Popayan win, 1 draw, 1 Ind. Yumbo win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Ind. Yumbo 2-4 Popayan | Primera B |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Ind. Yumbo 3-0 Popayan | Primera B |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Popayan 0-0 Ind. Yumbo | Primera B |
How many goals should we expect?
Popayan score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ind. Yumbo score 1.2 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Popayan | 1.6 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Ind. Yumbo | 1.2 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Popayan sit 10th in Primera B (41 points from 33 matches) and Ind. Yumbo sit 7th (48 points from 33 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Ind. Yumbo | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 36 | 30 | 48 |
| 10 | Popayan | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 43 | 41 |
A question about Popayan vs Ind. Yumbo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Popayan vs Ind. Yumbo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Popayan the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Ind. Yumbo.
- Where and when is Popayan vs Ind. Yumbo played?
- Popayan vs Ind. Yumbo is played on November 11, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.