Match

Envigado vs Union Magdalena: prediction and stats

Primera BClausura - Quadrangular - 5Kick-off on November 11, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Polideportivo Sur, Envigado

EnvigadoUnion Magdalena

The Footlab AI model makes Envigado the favourite at 44%, against 32% for a draw and 24% for Union Magdalena. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,204 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Envigado vs Union Magdalena?

A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Envigado (1,609) and Union Magdalena (1,598).

44%32%24%
Envigado winDrawUnion Magdalena win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Envigado vs Union Magdalena

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Envigado

4-3-3
  1. 77D. Valencia
  2. 18G. Mujica
  3. 7D. Dawson
  1. 6J. Palacios
  2. 99Miguel Marulanda
  3. 19S. Acuña
  1. 28J. Gamboa
  2. 15G. Cuervo
  3. 2D. Palacios
  4. 5S. Noreña
  1. 88A. Tovar

Union Magdalena

4-3-3
  1. 3D. Mera
  2. 26S. Franco
  3. 7R. Blanco
  1. 19F. Mosquera
  2. 16O. Surmay
  3. 14J. Farías
  1. 6D. Ortíz
  2. 25W. Sagrera
  3. 5J. Penaloza
  4. 18F. Molina
  1. 34M. Tasso

Computed on November 9, 2026 at 10:06 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Envigado have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Union Magdalena have 5, 8 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Envigado
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 6, 2026Popayan(away)0-1Primera B
Nov 2, 2026Union Magdalena(away)1-1Primera B
Oct 29, 2026Ind. Yumbo(home)2-0Primera B
Oct 24, 2026Patriotas(away)2-0Primera B
Oct 18, 2026Barranquilla(home)1-0Primera B
Union Magdalena
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 6, 2026Ind. Yumbo(home)1-1Primera B
Nov 2, 2026Envigado(home)1-1Primera B
Oct 29, 2026Popayan(away)1-1Primera B
Oct 24, 2026Depor FC(home)1-0Primera B
Oct 19, 2026Internacional Palmira(away)1-0Primera B

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Envigado win, 2 draws, 3 Union Magdalena wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 2, 2026Union Magdalena 1-1 EnvigadoPrimera B
Sep 1, 2026Envigado 0-1 Union MagdalenaPrimera B
Apr 9, 2026Union Magdalena 4-2 EnvigadoPrimera B
Oct 17, 2025Union Magdalena 3-1 EnvigadoPrimera A
Apr 26, 2025Envigado 2-1 Union MagdalenaPrimera A
Jul 31, 2023Envigado 0-0 Union MagdalenaPrimera A

Last archived meeting: Union Magdalena vs Envigado on Nov 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Envigado score 1.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Union Magdalena score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Envigado1.10.866/153/15
Union Magdalena1.31.0312/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Envigado sit 2nd in Primera B (68 points from 41 matches) and Union Magdalena sit 3rd (64 points from 39 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Envigado4118149543568
3Union Magdalena3917139533764

A question about Envigado vs Union Magdalena?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Envigado vs Union Magdalena?
The Footlab AI model makes Envigado the favourite at 44%, against 32% for a draw and 24% for Union Magdalena.
Where and when is Envigado vs Union Magdalena played?
Envigado vs Union Magdalena is played on November 11, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Polideportivo Sur, in the Primera B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Envigado and Union Magdalena

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