Glentoran vs Portadown: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 20Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)BetMcLean Oval, Belfast
The Footlab model makes Glentoran the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 12% for Portadown. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Glentoran vs Portadown?
Glentoran starts as the favourite with a 237-point Elo edge (1,686 vs 1,449).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Glentoran have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Portadown have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ballymena United(away) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Linfield(away) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Limavady United(home) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Rīgas FS(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Rīgas FS(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Crusaders FC(away) | 2-3 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dungannon Swifts(home) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Carrick Rangers(away) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kilbarrack United(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | H&W Welders(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Glentoran win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Portadown win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2025 | Glentoran 2-1 Portadown | Premiership |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Glentoran 2-1 Portadown | Premiership |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Portadown 0-1 Glentoran | Premiership |
| Dec 30, 2024 | Portadown 0-2 Glentoran | Premiership |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Glentoran 0-2 Portadown | Premiership |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Portadown 1-2 Glentoran | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: Glentoran vs Portadown on Dec 30, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Glentoran score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Portadown score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glentoran | 1.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Portadown | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Glentoran sit 2nd in Premiership (6 points from 3 matches) and Portadown sit 10th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Glentoran | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 10 | Portadown | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Glentoran vs Portadown?
- The Footlab model makes Glentoran the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 12% for Portadown.
- Where and when is Glentoran vs Portadown played?
- Glentoran vs Portadown is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at BetMcLean Oval, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.