Porto vs Cha Grande: prediction and stats
Pernambucano - 1Regular Season - 5Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Luiz José de Lacerda, Caruaru, Pernambuco
The Footlab AI model makes Porto the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Cha Grande. The most likely score is 1-1. If Porto wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Porto vs Cha Grande?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Porto (1,491) and Cha Grande (1,469).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Porto vs Cha Grande
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Porto
Not enough data to predict the Porto lineup.
Cha Grande
Not enough data to predict the Cha Grande lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 11:49 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Porto have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Cha Grande have 1, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | Acadêmica Vitória(away) | 2-3 | Pernambucano - 2 |
| Oct 8, 2025 | Aguia FC(home) | 1-0 | Pernambucano - 2 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Caruaru City(away) | 0-0 | Pernambucano - 2 |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Ypiranga PE(home) | 0-0 | Pernambucano - 2 |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Acadêmica Vitória(home) | 0-0 | Pernambucano - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2024 | Belo Jardim(home) | 0-3 | Pernambucano - 3 |
| Oct 27, 2024 | América PE(away) | 0-4 | Pernambucano - 3 |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Sete de Setembro(home) | 1-1 | Pernambucano - 3 |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Caruaru City(away) | 2-3 | Pernambucano - 3 |
| Oct 9, 2024 | Pesqueira(home) | 0-1 | Pernambucano - 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Porto score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cha Grande score 1.1 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Porto | 0.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Cha Grande | 1.1 | 2.0 | 1 | 3/7 | 5/7 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Porto vs Cha Grande?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Porto vs Cha Grande?
- The Footlab AI model makes Porto the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Cha Grande.
- Where and when is Porto vs Cha Grande played?
- Porto vs Cha Grande is played on November 8, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Luiz José de Lacerda, in the Pernambucano - 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.