Match

Portonovo SD vs Arenteiro: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 2Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)

Portonovo SDArenteiro

The Footlab model makes Portonovo SD the favourite at 55%, against 27% for a draw and 18% for Arenteiro. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Portonovo SD vs Arenteiro?

Portonovo SD win55 %
Draw27 %
Arenteiro win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 0 matches in all competitions, Portonovo SD have 0 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats; Arenteiro have 0, 4 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arenteiro
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026Lugo(away)0-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 17, 2026Ponferradina(home)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 9, 2026Guadalajara(away)0-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 3, 2026Cacereño(home)0-4Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 25, 2026Osasuna II(away)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Portonovo SD vs Arenteiro?
The Footlab model makes Portonovo SD the favourite at 55%, against 27% for a draw and 18% for Arenteiro.
Where and when is Portonovo SD vs Arenteiro played?
Portonovo SD vs Arenteiro is played on September 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Portonovo SD and Arenteiro

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