Poland U20 vs Germany U20: prediction and stats
U20 Elite LeagueGroup StageKick-off on November 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Narodowy, Warszawa
The Footlab model makes Germany U20 the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Poland U20. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Poland U20 vs Germany U20?
Germany U20 starts as the favourite with a 144-point Elo edge (1,642 vs 1,498).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Poland U20 have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Germany U20 have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | Germany U20(home) | 0-1 | U20 Elite League |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Romania U20(away) | 1-0 | U20 Elite League |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Czechia U20(away) | 4-1 | U20 Elite League |
| Oct 13, 2025 | Switzerland U20(home) | 4-1 | U20 Elite League |
| Sep 9, 2025 | Portugal U20(home) | 1-2 | U20 Elite League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | Poland U20(away) | 1-0 | U20 Elite League |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Czechia U20(home) | 2-1 | U20 Elite League |
| Nov 17, 2025 | Italy U20(home) | 5-0 | U20 Elite League |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Romania U20(home) | 6-0 | U20 Elite League |
| Oct 13, 2025 | Portugal U20(away) | 0-1 | U20 Elite League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Poland U20 win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Germany U20 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | Poland U20 0-1 Germany U20 | U20 Elite League |
| Oct 11, 2024 | Germany U20 3-1 Poland U20 | U20 Elite League |
| Sep 11, 2023 | Poland U20 1-1 Germany U20 | U20 Elite League |
| Sep 23, 2022 | Germany U20 2-1 Poland U20 | U20 Elite League |
| Oct 7, 2021 | Poland U20 0-0 Germany U20 | U20 Elite League |
Last archived meeting: Poland U20 vs Germany U20 on Mar 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Poland U20 score 1.6 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Germany U20 score 2.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poland U20 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Germany U20 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Poland U20 vs Germany U20?
- The Footlab model makes Germany U20 the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Poland U20.
- Where and when is Poland U20 vs Germany U20 played?
- Poland U20 vs Germany U20 is played on November 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Narodowy, in the U20 Elite League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.