France vs Italy: result 1-3 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague A - 1Kick-off on September 6, 2024 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Parc des Princes, Paris
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What was the result of France vs Italy?
Italy won 1-3 on September 6, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 1′B. BarcolaFrance
- 30′F. DimarcoItaly
- 51′D. FrattesiItaly
- 74′G. RaspadoriItaly
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, France have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Italy have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 9, 2024 | Spain(away) | 1-2 | Euro Championship |
| Jul 5, 2024 | Portugal(away) | 0-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jul 1, 2024 | Belgium(home) | 1-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 25, 2024 | Poland(home) | 1-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 21, 2024 | Netherlands(away) | 0-0 | Euro Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 29, 2024 | Switzerland(away) | 0-2 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 24, 2024 | Croatia(away) | 1-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 20, 2024 | Spain(away) | 0-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 15, 2024 | Albania(home) | 2-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 9, 2024 | Bosnia & Herzegovina(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 France win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Italy win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 1, 2018 | France 3-1 Italy | Friendlies |
| Jun 17, 2008 | France 0-2 Italy | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
France score 2.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Italy score 1.6 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| France | 2.2 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Italy | 1.6 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy