Portugal vs Italy: result 1-0 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague A - 2Kick-off on September 10, 2018 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Estádio José Alvalade, Lisboa
Full time
What was the result of Portugal vs Italy?
Portugal won 1-0 on September 10, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 48′André SilvaPortugal
Official lineup for Portugal vs Italy
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Portugal
4-3-3- 11Bernardo Silva
- 9André Silva
- 7Bruma
- 14William Carvalho
- 13Rúben Neves
- 20Pizzi
- 19Mário Rui
- 6Rúben Dias
- 3Pepe
- 2João Cancelo
- 1Rui Patrício
Italy
4-3-3- 14F. Chiesa
- 17C. Immobile
- 7S. Zaza
- 8G. Bonaventura
- 5Jorginho
- 23B. Cristante
- 4D. Criscito
- 6A. Romagnoli
- 13M. Caldara
- 15M. Lazzari
- 22G. Donnarumma
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Portugal have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Italy have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2018 | Croatia(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 30, 2018 | Uruguay(away) | 1-2 | World Cup |
| Jun 25, 2018 | Iran(away) | 1-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 20, 2018 | Morocco(home) | 1-0 | World Cup |
| Jun 15, 2018 | Spain(home) | 3-3 | World Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 2018 | Poland(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 4, 2018 | Netherlands(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 1, 2018 | France(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies |
| May 28, 2018 | Saudi Arabia(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 27, 2018 | England(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Portugal score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Italy score 1.7 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portugal | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Italy | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Portugal sit 1st in UEFA Nations League (12 points from 4 matches) and Italy sit 2nd (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PortugalGroup D | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | ItalyGroup A | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
A question about Portugal vs Italy?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy