Portugal vs Italy: result 1-0 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague A - 2Kick-off on September 10, 2018 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Estádio José Alvalade, Lisboa
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What was the result of Portugal vs Italy?
Portugal won 1-0 on September 10, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 48′André SilvaPortugal
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Portugal have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Italy have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2018 | Croatia(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 30, 2018 | Uruguay(away) | 1-2 | World Cup |
| Jun 25, 2018 | Iran(away) | 1-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 20, 2018 | Morocco(home) | 1-0 | World Cup |
| Jun 15, 2018 | Spain(home) | 3-3 | World Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 2018 | Poland(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 4, 2018 | Netherlands(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 1, 2018 | France(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies |
| May 28, 2018 | Saudi Arabia(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 27, 2018 | England(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Portugal score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Italy score 1.7 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portugal | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Italy | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy