Iceland vs Belgium: result 0-3 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague A - 2Kick-off on September 11, 2018 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Estadio Enrique Roca de Murcia, Murcia
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What was the result of Iceland vs Belgium?
Belgium won 0-3 on September 11, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 29′E. HazardBelgium (pen.)
- 31′R. LukakuBelgium
- 81′R. LukakuBelgium
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Iceland have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Belgium have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2018 | Switzerland(away) | 0-6 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 26, 2018 | Croatia(home) | 1-2 | World Cup |
| Jun 22, 2018 | Nigeria(away) | 0-2 | World Cup |
| Jun 16, 2018 | Argentina(away) | 1-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 7, 2018 | Ghana(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 2018 | Scotland(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies |
| Jul 14, 2018 | England(home) | 2-0 | World Cup |
| Jul 10, 2018 | France(away) | 0-1 | World Cup |
| Jul 6, 2018 | Brazil(away) | 2-1 | World Cup |
| Jul 2, 2018 | Japan(home) | 3-2 | World Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Iceland score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Belgium score 2.6 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iceland | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Belgium | 2.6 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy