Where and when is Portugalete vs Llanera played?

Portugalete vs Llanera is played on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Florida, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Portugalete vs Llanera: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Florida, Portugalete

Portugalete

Llanera

The Footlab model makes Portugalete the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Llanera. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Portugalete vs Llanera?

A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Portugalete (1,942) and Llanera (2,000).

Portugalete win37 %

Draw28 %

Llanera win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Portugalete have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Llanera have 12, 3 and 0.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Portugalete
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	Barakaldo(home)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 9, 2026	Deportivo Alavés III(away)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
May 3, 2026	Aurrerá Vitoria(home)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 25, 2026	Leioa(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 17, 2026	Eibar III(home)	4-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 4

Llanera
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 18, 2026	Sporting Gijón II(away)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 14, 2026	Avilés Stadium(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026	Avilés Stadium(away)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 2
May 3, 2026	Tuilla(home)	4-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 25, 2026	Real Titánico(home)	3-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 2

How many goals should we expect?

Portugalete score 1.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Llanera score 1.9 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Portugalete	1.8	0.9	7	8/15	8/15
Llanera	1.9	0.4	11	4/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Portugalete vs Llanera?: The Footlab model makes Portugalete the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Llanera.
Where and when is Portugalete vs Llanera played?: Portugalete vs Llanera is played on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Florida, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.