Portugalete vs Llanera: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Florida, Portugalete
The Footlab AI model makes Portugalete the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Llanera. The most likely score is 1-1. If Portugalete wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,337 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Portugalete vs Llanera?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Portugalete (1,934) and Llanera (1,910).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Portugalete vs Llanera
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Portugalete
Not enough data to predict the Portugalete lineup.
Llanera
Not enough data to predict the Llanera lineup.
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 08:35 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Portugalete have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Llanera have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Ourense CF(away) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Arosa(home) | 3-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Basconia(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Eibar II(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Amorebieta(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Bergantiños(home) | 4-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Real Oviedo II(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Ponferradina(home) | 1-1 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Compostela(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Arosa(away) | 1-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Portugalete score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Llanera score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portugalete | 1.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Llanera | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Portugalete sit 6th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (16 points from 10 matches) and Llanera sit 13th (10 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Portugalete | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 16 |
| 13 | Llanera | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 24 | 10 |
A question about Portugalete vs Llanera?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Portugalete vs Llanera?
- The Footlab AI model makes Portugalete the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Llanera.
- Where and when is Portugalete vs Llanera played?
- Portugalete vs Llanera is played on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Florida, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 13, 2026CompostelavsRacing Santander II
- Dec 13, 2026AmorebietavsReal Oviedo II
- Dec 13, 2026BergantiñosvsMarino de Luanco
- Dec 13, 2026ArosavsGimnástica Torrelavega
- Dec 13, 2026Ourense CFvsDeportivo Alavés II
- Dec 13, 2026BasconiavsGernika
- Dec 13, 2026Real Madrid IIIvsCoruxo
- Dec 13, 2026Eibar IIvsSestao River