Bergantiños vs Marino de Luanco: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio As Eiroas, Carballo
The Footlab model makes Bergantiños the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Marino de Luanco. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bergantiños vs Marino de Luanco?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Bergantiños (1,886) and Marino de Luanco (1,879).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bergantiños have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Marino de Luanco have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Sámano(away) | 5-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | UD Ourense(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Real Oviedo II(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Sarriana(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Real Valladolid II(away) | 4-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Langreo(home) | 6-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ponferradina(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sporting Gijón II(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Real Avilés(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Bergantiños win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Marino de Luanco win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Bergantiños 0-1 Marino de Luanco | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Marino de Luanco 1-1 Bergantiños | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 10, 2025 | Bergantiños 4-2 Marino de Luanco | Copa Federacion |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Marino de Luanco 1-1 Bergantiños | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Bergantiños 1-2 Marino de Luanco | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Bergantiños 1-1 Marino de Luanco | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Bergantiños vs Marino de Luanco on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bergantiños score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Marino de Luanco score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bergantiños | 1.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Marino de Luanco | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bergantiños sit 10th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (48 points from 34 matches) and Marino de Luanco sit 12th (45 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bergantiños | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44 | 37 | 48 |
| 12 | Marino de Luanco | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 31 | 26 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bergantiños vs Marino de Luanco?
- The Footlab model makes Bergantiños the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Marino de Luanco.
- Where and when is Bergantiños vs Marino de Luanco played?
- Bergantiños vs Marino de Luanco is played on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio As Eiroas, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.