Match

Pozuelo Alarcón vs Fuenlabrada: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 24Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Valle de las Cañas, Pozuelo de Alarcón

Pozuelo AlarcónFuenlabrada

The Footlab model makes Fuenlabrada the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Pozuelo Alarcón. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pozuelo Alarcón vs Fuenlabrada?

A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Pozuelo Alarcón (1,721) and Fuenlabrada (1,790).

Pozuelo Alarcón win34 %
Draw27 %
Fuenlabrada win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pozuelo Alarcón have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Fuenlabrada have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pozuelo Alarcón
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Marchamalo(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026Tres Cantos(home)3-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026Carabanchel(away)2-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 25, 2026Móstoles(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026SS Reyes II(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Fuenlabrada
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Navalcarnero(away)1-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026Rayo Majadahonda(home)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026Socuéllamos(away)3-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 12, 2026RSD Alcalá(home)0-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 5, 2026Quintanar del Rey(away)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

How many goals should we expect?

Pozuelo Alarcón score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Fuenlabrada score 0.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pozuelo Alarcón1.11.227/156/15
Fuenlabrada0.81.537/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Pozuelo Alarcón34121210403348

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pozuelo Alarcón vs Fuenlabrada?
The Footlab model makes Fuenlabrada the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Pozuelo Alarcón.
Where and when is Pozuelo Alarcón vs Fuenlabrada played?
Pozuelo Alarcón vs Fuenlabrada is played on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Valle de las Cañas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Pozuelo Alarcón and Fuenlabrada

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